Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Junior1 - 2Colo-Colo
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Atletico Junior 1-1 Colo-Colo (Colo-Colo advances 2-1 on aggregate)
Throughout this tournament, the Colombians have been narrowly squeaking by, and we do not see them doing enough to defeat a side as disciplined defensively as Colo-Colo. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colo-Colo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Colo-Colo |
34.66% ( -0.09) | 27.57% ( -0.02) | 37.77% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.03% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
