Heidenheim

1 - 4

Werder Bremen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.