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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | St Pauli |
| 41.32% ( | 25.04% ( | 33.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% ( | 46.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% ( | 68.59% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( | 55.83% ( |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( | 26.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% ( | 61.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | St Pauli |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.64% |