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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)

Werder Bremen
0 - 0
St Pauli

Burke (80')
Bittencourt (82'), Friedl (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saliakas (63'), Metcalfe (89')
Metcalfe (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, April 20 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawSt Pauli
41.32% (0.265 0.27)25.04% (0.256 0.26)33.64% (-0.52 -0.52)
Both teams to score 57.09% (-1.04 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (-1.291 -1.29)46.3% (1.292 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (-1.231 -1.23)68.59% (1.231 1.23)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)22.34% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.65 -0.65)55.83% (0.652 0.65)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.926 -0.93)26.49% (0.927 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (-1.248 -1.25)61.68% (1.249 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 41.32%
    St Pauli 33.64%
    Draw 25.04%
Werder BremenDrawSt Pauli
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.367 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.317 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.222 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.64%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs St Pauli

Werder Bremen
84.4%
Draw
11.1%
St Pauli
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
St Pauli
0-2
Werder Bremen

Sinani (62'), Smith (64')
Kohn (24'), Ducksch (54')
Stark (8'), Friedl (12'), Stage (43')
Apr 9, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 29
St Pauli
1-1
Werder Bremen
Kyereh (43')
Ziereis (84')
Fullkrug (58')
Oct 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Werder Bremen
1-1
St Pauli
Ducksch (62')
Friedl (24'), Ducksch (50'), Rapp (54'), Schonfelder (88')
Ole Becker (67')
Medic (14'), Burgstaller (83')