MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:40:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

St Pauli
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Afolayan (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Itakura (45+2')
Ullrich (47'), Netz (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-2 St Pauli
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

While Borussia Monchengladbach will prove to be challenging opponents, St Pauli could benefit from the fact the visitors will be fielding their third-choice goalkeeper. It would be surprising if Die Fohlen succumbed to defeat given their strong form, but they may struggle to keep a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 40%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
St PauliDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
40% (1.671 1.67) 25.35% (0.273 0.27) 34.65% (-1.945 -1.95)
Both teams to score 56.24% (-1.217 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (-1.465 -1.47)47.51% (1.465 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-1.371 -1.37)69.72% (1.371 1.37)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47% (0.208 0.21)23.53% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (0.3 0.3)57.57% (-0.3 -0.3)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-1.796 -1.8)26.46% (1.795 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-2.453 -2.45)61.64% (2.453 2.45)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 40%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 34.65%
    Draw 25.35%
St PauliDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.589 0.59)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.464 0.46)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.242 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.371 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 34.65%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Borussia M'bach

St Pauli
16.7%
Draw
15.2%
Borussia Monchengladbach
68.2%
66
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 4.30pm
Aug 10, 2015 7.30pm
First Round
St Pauli
1-4
Borussia M'bach
Stindl (54', 67'), Traore (56'), Hazard (86')
Xhaka (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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