Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Afolayan (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Itakura (45+2')
Ullrich (47'), Netz (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: Bayern 3-2 St Pauli
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 40%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
40% ( 1.67)	25.35% ( 0.27)	34.65% ( -1.95)

Both teams to score 56.24% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.49% (

-1.47)

47.51% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.28% (

-1.37)

69.72% (

1.37)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47% (

0.21)

23.53% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.43% (

0.3)

57.57% (

-0.3)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

-1.8)

26.46% (

1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36% (

-2.45)

61.64% (

2.45)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 40%

Borussia Monchengladbach 34.65%

Draw 25.35%

St Pauli	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 40%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.65%