

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 45.25% ( | 23.96% ( | 30.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( | 42.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( | 64.79% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( | 18.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.54% ( | 50.46% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( | 26.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.5% ( | 61.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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