

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund | 
| 34.96% (  -0.27) | 22.92% (  0.02) | 42.12% (  0.26) | 
| Both teams to score 65.22% (  -0.14) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.16% (  -0.16) | 35.84% (  0.16) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.07% (  -0.18) | 57.92% (  0.18) | 
| Heidenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.14% (  -0.21) | 20.86% (  0.22) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.45% (  -0.33) | 53.55% (  0.34) | 
| Borussia Dortmund Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.4% (  0.05) | 17.59% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.83% (  0.07) | 48.17% (  -0.07) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Heidenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund | 
| 2-1 @ 7.83% (  -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.75% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 4.51% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.09% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.56% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.36% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.6% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.92% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 10% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 6.81% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.67% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 2.06% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.68% (  0.04) 0-1 @ 6.38% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 5.54% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 5.03% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 3.94% (  -0) 0-3 @ 3.21% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 2.19% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.39% (  0.02) Other @ 4.05% Total : 42.12% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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