Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Benfica

Braga
1 - 1
Benfica

Zalazar (24' pen.)
Rodrigues (52'), Moutinho (55'), Racic (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pavlidis (63')
Kokcu (33'), Otamendi (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Braga
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
35.05% (-4.115 -4.12)24.1% (-0.265 -0.26)40.84% (4.374 4.37)
Both teams to score 60.8% (0.751 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (1.068 1.07)41.61% (-1.074 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.99% (1.072 1.07)64.01% (-1.078 -1.08)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-1.653 -1.65)23.46% (1.646 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-2.451 -2.45)57.48% (2.443 2.44)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (2.636 2.64)20.55% (-2.643 -2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (4.009 4.01)53.07% (-4.016 -4.02)
Score Analysis
    Braga 35.05%
    Benfica 40.84%
    Draw 24.1%
BragaDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.552 -0.55)
1-0 @ 6.99% (-0.713 -0.71)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.796 -0.8)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.474 -0.47)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.527 -0.53)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.05%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.525 0.53)
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.235 0.23)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.633 0.63)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.608 0.61)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.295 0.3)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.551 0.55)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.361 0.36)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.209 0.21)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.298 0.3)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 40.84%

How you voted: Braga vs Benfica

Braga
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
Benfica
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2025 8.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
1-0
Braga
Pavlidis (39')
Fernandez (46'), Otamendi (90+4')

Horta (68'), Navarro (78'), Bambu (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
3-0
Braga
Di Maria (27', 37'), Fernandez (28')

Ferreira (62'), Fernandes (83')
Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro (78')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2025 6pm
Gameweek 17
Benfica
1-2
Braga
Cabral (77')
di Maria (52'), Cabral (79'), Barreiro (88'), Beste (89')
Navarro (17'), Bambu (40')
Gorby (36'), Magalhaes (54'), Ferreira (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
3-1
Braga
Leonardo (71', 90+5'), Neres (85')
Leonardo (90+5'), Carvalho (90+6')
Horta (28')
Moutinho (79'), Ndour (82'), Kokcu (82'), Carvalho (90+8')
Gomez (89')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Benfica
3-2
Braga
Silva (42'), Cabral (44'), Aursnes (70')
Morato (40'), di Maria (60')
Zalazar (7', 48')
Gomez (58'), Oliveira (72')
> Preview