Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 1
Benfica

Zalazar (24' pen.)
Rodrigues (52'), Moutinho (55'), Racic (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pavlidis (63')
Kokcu (33'), Otamendi (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Braga
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Benfica
35.05% ( -4.12)	24.1% ( -0.26)	40.84% ( 4.37)

Both teams to score 60.8% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.39% (

1.07)

41.61% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.99% (

1.07)

64.01% (

-1.08)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

-1.65)

23.46% (

1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52% (

-2.45)

57.48% (

2.44)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

2.64)

20.55% (

-2.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.92% (

4.01)

53.07% (

-4.02)

Score Analysis

Braga 35.05%

Benfica 40.84%

Draw 24.1%

Braga	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.55) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.71) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.8) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.53) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.05%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.53) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.63) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.61) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.55) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.36) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.3) Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.84%