Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 12.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 68.54% ( | 18.85% ( | 12.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.78% ( | 43.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% ( | 65.62% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( | 11.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.53% ( | 36.47% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.11% ( | 44.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.16% ( | 80.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 2-0 @ 12.07% ( 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 3-0 @ 8.69% ( 3-1 @ 6.96% ( 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 68.52% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 2-2 @ 3.88% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 18.85% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 1-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.21% Total : 12.61% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
| R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
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