Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Santa Clara2 - 0Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Santa Clara
Friday, April 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, April 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Santa Clara 1-1 Arouca
Arouca are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Santa Clara, winning the last four, and their run of just one loss in six matches on the road could see that dominance continue. That said, a share of the spoils may be more likely, especially as Seabra's side have only managed four wins from 15 away fixtures in the top flight this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Arouca |
43.15% ( -0.02) | 26.76% ( 0.02) | 30.08% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
