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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 45.28% ( | 24.33% ( | 30.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( | 44.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( | 66.67% ( |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( | 19.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( | 51.71% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( | 27.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( | 63.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-1 @ 5% ( 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.28% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0-1 @ 7% ( 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.39% |