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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | St Pauli |
| 48.15% ( | 23.19% ( | 28.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.99% ( | 40.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.62% ( | 62.37% ( |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( | 16.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.09% ( | 46.9% ( |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( | 26.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.22% ( | 61.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 4.19% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.66% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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