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Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Stuttgart

St Pauli
0 - 1
Stuttgart


Van der Heyden (38'), Boukhalfa (51'), Sinani (84'), Vasilj (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Woltemade (88')
Chabot (17'), Stiller (53'), Undav (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-0 St Pauli
Sunday, April 27 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Heidenheim
Friday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawStuttgart
29.75% (0.582 0.58)24.55% (0.169 0.17)45.69% (-0.753 -0.75)
Both teams to score 57.03% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (-0.436 -0.44)45.62% (0.434 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05% (-0.417 -0.42)67.95% (0.416 0.42)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.17999999999999 0.18)28.65% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.227 0.23)64.47% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (-0.494 -0.49)20.07% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7% (-0.802 -0.8)52.29% (0.8 0.8)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 29.75%
    Stuttgart 45.69%
    Draw 24.55%
St PauliDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.096 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 4.49% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 29.75%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.69%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Stuttgart

St Pauli
60.7%
Draw
17.9%
Stuttgart
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Stuttgart
0-1
St Pauli

Keitel (76'), Woltemade (90+4')
Eggestein (21')
Eggestein (45+1'), Sinani (83')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 20
St Pauli
1-1
Stuttgart
Veerman (56')
Flum (39')
Gomez (81')
Mangala (88')
Aug 17, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
2-1
St Pauli
Kempf (60'), Gonzalez (90')
Daehli (18')
Carstens (67'), Sobota (87')