

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
| 68.89% ( | 18.72% ( | 12.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.55% ( | 11.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.75% ( | 36.26% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.77% ( | 45.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.88% ( | 81.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 3-0 @ 8.79% ( 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 5-0 @ 2.06% ( 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 68.89% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 2-2 @ 3.83% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.72% | 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0-2 @ 1.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 1-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 |
| 3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
