Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.