Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
45.66% (![]() | 23.26% (![]() | 31.08% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.05% (![]() | 38.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.74% (![]() | 61.26% (![]() |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% (![]() | 17.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.14% (![]() | 47.86% (![]() |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% (![]() | 24.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% (![]() | 58.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 4.01% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 10.48% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.38% (![]() 0-1 @ 6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |