

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 41.64% ( | 25.36% ( | 33% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( | 47.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( | 70.07% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( | 22.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.38% ( | 56.62% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( | 27.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.8% ( | 63.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
