

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South | 
| 41.64% (  0.42) | 25.36% (  0.03) | 33% (  -0.45) | 
| Both teams to score 55.79% (  -0.22) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.11% (  -0.22) | 47.89% (  0.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.93% (  -0.2) | 70.07% (  0.21) | 
| Kelty Hearts Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.12% (  0.11) | 22.88% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.38% (  0.16) | 56.62% (  -0.16) | 
| Queen of the South Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.34% (  -0.38) | 27.65% (  0.39) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.8% (  -0.5) | 63.2% (  0.5) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South | 
| 1-0 @ 9.33% (  0.12) 2-1 @ 8.85% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 6.88% (  0.11) 3-1 @ 4.35% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 3.38% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 2.8% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.99% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% (  0.06) 2-2 @ 5.69% (  -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.13% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.71% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.23% (  -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.3% (  -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.44% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.24% (  -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 | 
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 | 
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 | 
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
