

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queen of the South in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 46.9% ( | 23.82% ( | 29.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( | 42.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( | 64.96% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( | 18.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.55% ( | 49.44% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( | 27.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.08% ( | 62.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
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