Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.