

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 26.12% ( | 22.19% ( | 51.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( | 37.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( | 59.43% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( | 26.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.79% ( | 62.21% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.38% ( | 14.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.28% ( | 42.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 4-2 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0-3 @ 4.66% ( 2-3 @ 4.02% ( 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 1-5 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 4.27% Total : 51.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
