Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 46.08% ( | 24.26% ( | 29.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.66% ( | 44.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( | 66.71% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( | 19.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.81% ( | 51.19% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( | 28.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.27% ( | 63.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.08% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 27 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 62 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 43 |
| 6 | Montrose | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
| 9 | Clyde | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 15 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 27 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 63 | -50 | 12 |
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