Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 39.2% ( | 26.2% ( | 34.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( | 51.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( | 73.02% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( | 25.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.52% ( | 60.47% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( | 28.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.03% ( | 63.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 |
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