

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts | 
| 44.46% (  0.19) | 24.64% (  0.03) | 30.9% (  -0.21) | 
| Both teams to score 57.39% (  -0.19) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.57% (  -0.21) | 45.44% (  0.21) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.23% (  -0.2) | 67.77% (  0.2) | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.48% (  0) | 20.53% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.97% (  -0) | 53.03% (  0) | 
| Kelty Hearts Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.21% (  -0.24) | 27.79% (  0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.63% (  -0.31) | 63.38% (  0.31) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts | 
| 2-1 @ 9.16% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% (  0.08) 2-0 @ 7.15% (  0.06) 3-1 @ 4.83% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 3.1% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.49% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 11.56% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.7% (  0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.41% (  -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.3% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 4.68% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.16% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 2% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.9% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 | 
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 | 
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 | 
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 | 
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
