

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 44.46% ( | 24.64% ( | 30.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( | 45.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( | 67.77% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( | 20.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.97% ( | 53.03% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( | 27.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.63% ( | 63.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
