Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 40.27% ( | 24.67% ( | 35.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( | 44.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.32% ( | 66.68% ( |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( | 21.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.71% ( | 55.29% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( | 24.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.74% ( | 59.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.27% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
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