

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 45.79% ( | 23.55% ( | 30.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.43% ( | 40.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% ( | 62.94% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( | 18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.13% ( | 48.87% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( | 25.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.59% ( | 60.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | FalkirkFalkirk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Montrose | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
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