Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 9.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
| 76.64% ( | 14.11% ( | 9.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.13% ( | 29.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.97% ( | 51.03% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.61% ( | 6.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.04% ( | 23.95% ( |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( | 41.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.73% ( | 78.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 2-1 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 4-0 @ 6.37% ( 4-1 @ 5.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 5-0 @ 3.51% ( 5-1 @ 3.06% 4-2 @ 2.42% ( 6-0 @ 1.61% ( 6-1 @ 1.4% 5-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 4.26% Total : 76.64% | 1-1 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.11% | 1-2 @ 2.79% ( 0-1 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 9.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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