

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
| 18.71% ( | 22.62% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( | 47.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( | 70.1% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( | 39.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.74% ( | 76.26% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( | 16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.68% ( | 45.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-1 @ 1.54% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.71% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.57% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0-2 @ 10.63% ( 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-3 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0-4 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-5 @ 1.09% ( 1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.17% Total : 58.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
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