

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 42.57% ( | 26.43% ( | 31% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% ( | 53.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( | 74.6% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( | 24.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.81% ( | 59.19% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( | 31.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.07% ( | 67.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
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