Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.