

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 58.63% ( | 21.51% ( | 19.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.65% ( | 41.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% ( | 63.74% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.19% ( | 13.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.85% ( | 41.15% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% ( | 34.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.77% ( | 71.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 58.63% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
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