Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
Morton
4 - 1
Kelty Hearts
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Greenock Morton and Kelty Hearts.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-0 Morton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-4 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
64.28% ( 0) | 19.43% | 16.29% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.61% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
