

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 54.95% ( | 24.38% ( | 20.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% ( | 52.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% ( | 74.14% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( | 19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.44% ( | 50.56% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.93% ( | 40.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.28% ( | 76.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.93% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-2 @ 4.39% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
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