Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.