Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.