

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Stirling Albion |
| 23.39% ( | 22.4% ( | 54.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( | 40.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( | 63.33% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( | 31.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.66% ( | 67.33% ( |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.92% | 15.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.39% ( | 43.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Stirling Albion |
| 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.39% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0-2 @ 8.37% ( 1-3 @ 6.18% 0-3 @ 5.28% ( 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 1-4 @ 2.92% 0-4 @ 2.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1-5 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.93% Total : 54.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
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