

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 66.66% ( | 18.29% ( | 15.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.21% ( | 34.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.24% ( | 56.75% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.32% ( | 9.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.72% ( | 32.27% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.03% ( | 35.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.25% ( | 72.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 3-0 @ 7.39% ( 4-1 @ 4.41% ( 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 4-2 @ 2.26% ( 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 5-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 4.41% Total : 66.66% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.29% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 1-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 15.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
