

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
| 36.91% ( | 25.69% ( | 37.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( | 48.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( | 70.9% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( | 25.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.29% ( | 60.71% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( | 25.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.67% ( | 60.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
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