Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queen of the South in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
| 50.09% ( | 23.64% | 26.27% |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( | 43.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( | 66.23% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( | 17.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( | 48.17% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( | 30.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( | 66.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.76% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-1 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.06% Total : 26.27% |