Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.