

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 26.34% ( | 24.08% ( | 49.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( | 45.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( | 68.05% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( | 31.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.45% ( | 67.55% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( | 18.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.26% ( | 49.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 2-0 @ 3.92% ( 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 3-0 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.34% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
