

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 45.78% ( | 25.58% ( | 28.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( | 50.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( | 72.51% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( | 22.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.56% ( | 55.44% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( | 32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.53% ( | 68.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
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