

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 40.88% ( | 24.33% ( | 34.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.23% ( | 42.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.83% ( | 65.16% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( | 21.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.17% ( | 53.82% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( | 24.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.54% ( | 58.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8% ( 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 64 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 57 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 53 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 43 |
| 8 | Montrose | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 20 |
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