

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 42.55% ( | 25.43% ( | 32.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( | 48.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( | 70.64% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( | 22.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.63% ( | 56.37% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( | 28.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.62% ( | 64.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 64 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 57 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 53 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 43 |
| 8 | Montrose | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 20 |
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