

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 39.15% ( | 26.29% ( | 34.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% ( | 51.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% ( | 73.35% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( | 25.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.24% ( | 60.76% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( | 28.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.77% ( | 64.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
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