

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South | 
| 39.15% (  0.13) | 26.29% (  -0.03) | 34.56% (  -0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 53.08% (  0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.44% (  0.09) | 51.56% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.64% (  0.08) | 73.35% (  -0.09) | 
| Kelty Hearts Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.2% (  0.11) | 25.8% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.24% (  0.15) | 60.76% (  -0.15) | 
| Queen of the South Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.53% (  -0.02) | 28.47% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.77% (  -0.02) | 64.23% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South | 
| 1-0 @ 9.95% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 6.74% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 3.82% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 3.04% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.4% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% (  0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 12.5% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.32% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% (  0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.23% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.85% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.8% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.29% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.43% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.03% (  -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.56% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 | 
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 | 
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 | 
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
