

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Stenhousemuir | 
| 40.77% ( | 25.59% ( | 33.64% ( | 
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.24% ( | 48.76% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.13% ( | 70.86% ( | 
| Cove Rangers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.31% ( | 23.69% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.19% ( | 57.81% ( | 
| Stenhousemuir Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.32% ( | 27.67% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.77% ( | 63.22% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Stenhousemuir | 
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.77%  | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58%  | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.64%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 | 
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 | 
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 | 
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
