Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.