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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Bank of America Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Charlotte FC
4 - 1
Earthquakes

Biel (11'), Westwood (36'), Bronico (40'), Vargas (52')
Bronico (41'), Diani (73')
Privett (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Arango (77' pen.)
Rodrigues (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 15 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Colorado
Sunday, March 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Charlotte are currently on a 10-game winning run on home turf across all competitions, and given San Jose's deficiencies on the road, we fully expect the home side to come away with maximum points when all is said and done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
51.43% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 24.24% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 24.33% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (0.045999999999999 0.05)50.08% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)34.17% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)70.86% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 51.43%
    San Jose Earthquakes 24.33%
    Draw 24.23%
Charlotte FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.98% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.43%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 24.33%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Earthquakes

Charlotte FC
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
12.5%
16
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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