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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Bank of America Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Charlotte FC
2 - 0
Cincinnati

Abada (48'), Agyemang (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Flores (45'), Nwobodo (76')
Flores (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 3-1 Cincinnati
Wednesday, March 12 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 FC Cincinnati

Charlotte FC have had mixed results to start the season, and they have given good account of themselves in their opening three games. Similarly, Cincinnati have been one of the shining lights of the new season with two wins from three matches. Therefore, we expect a keenly-contested fixture that is likely to end in a 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawFC Cincinnati
44.35% (0.020999999999994 0.02) 25.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 30.24% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.020000000000003 0.02)49.12% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.019000000000002 0.02)71.19% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.019000000000005 0.02)22.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)55.48% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 44.35%
    FC Cincinnati 30.24%
    Draw 25.4%
Charlotte FCDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.35%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 30.24%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Cincinnati

Charlotte FC
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-3
Charlotte FC
Acosta (45+1')
Robinson (59'), Acosta (87')
Robinson (72')
Tavares (20'), Abada (22'), Vargas (66')
Diani (3'), Westwood (45+4'), Malanda (47'), Byrne (54'), Murphy (90+8')
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
Charlotte FC
1-1
Cincinnati
Diani (60' pen.)
Dejaegere (72'), Vargas (90')
Boupendza (90+2')
Murphy (64'), Boupendza (88'), Nwobodo (90+7')
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
2-2
Cincinnati
Swiderski (14', 24')
Corujo (28'), Lindsey (45+2'), Arfield (69'), Jozwiak (89'), Swiderski (90+2')
Acosta (52' pen.), Barreal (68')
Mosquera (11'), Murphy (29'), Santos (57')
Murphy (75')
Sep 4, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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