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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Chicago Fire

Charlotte FC
4 - 3
Chicago Fire

Swiderski (8', 45+1'), Urso (30'), Abada (58')
Abada (16'), Smith (17'), Swiderski (69'), Kahlina (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Herbers (25'), Acosta (67'), Barlow (90+3')
Navarro (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 Chicago Fire

Charlotte have dominated recent match-ups against the Fire, notching four consecutive victories entering Wednesday's fixture, and they should seal another success against an opponent that has nothing riding on the outcome in Illinois. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawChicago Fire
47.77% (0.297 0.3) 24.79% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 27.44% (-0.242 -0.24)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (0.074999999999996 0.07)48.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (0.069000000000003 0.07)70.22% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.157 0.16)20.17% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.249 0.25)52.45% (-0.248 -0.25)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)31.58% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-0.165 -0.16)67.98% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 47.76%
    Chicago Fire 27.44%
    Draw 24.79%
Charlotte FCDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.44%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire

Charlotte FC
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
28
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
0-2
Charlotte FC

Gimenez (61'), Teran (80')
Westwood (23'), Swiderski (58' pen.)
Jones (90+3'), Jozwiak (90+6')
May 18, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
2-1
Chicago Fire
Cambridge (68', 81')
Malanda (45+1'), Kahlina (55'), Swiderski (80'), Jones (87'), Sobocinski (88')
Przybylko (29')
Gimenez (20'), Gutierrez (39'), Torres (72'), Koutsias (90+1')
Aug 7, 2022 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati138231815326
4Orlando City135622415921
5Nashville SCNashville136342215721
6Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
7New York City FCNY City136251514120
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire135442424019
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United133461325-1213
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta132471323-1010
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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