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Carlisle United
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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bromley

Carlisle
2 - 1
Bromley

Wearne (13'), Whelan (54')
Davies (56'), Harper (62'), Vela (69'), Bevan (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McKirdy (28')
McKirdy (28'), Webster (47'), Major (69'), Vela (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bromley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 2-2 Walsall
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Bromley

At some point, Carlisle will need to throw caution to the wind with draws not enough at this stage. That may come against an inconsistent Bromley side, yet we still feel that the visitors will do enough to come through with the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Bromley win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBromley
40.58% (-0.153 -0.15) 27.05% (0.117 0.12) 32.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.448 -0.45)55.07% (0.447 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.371 -0.37)76.33% (0.36999999999999 0.37)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)26.64% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)61.88% (0.384 0.38)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)31.64% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.236 -0.24)68.05% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 40.58%
    Bromley 32.36%
    Draw 27.05%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBromley
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.36%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bromley

Carlisle United
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bromley
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bromley
1-1
Carlisle
Cheek (54' pen.)
Thompson (57')
Leigh (83')
Adu-Adjei (90+2')
Guy (37'), Mellish (43'), Burey (51'), Charters (67'), Lavelle (83'), Sadi (90'), Barclay (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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