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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Walsall

Carlisle
1 - 1
Walsall

Hayden (22')
Embleton (60'), Hayden (85'), Davies (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Allen (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Thursday, February 27 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Walsall

Given this match is a clash of top against bottom, Walsall will be huge favourites to take what would be an important three points. However, Carlisle have already improved under Hughes, and considering the defensive strength they have shown in recent games, it would come as no surprise to see the Sadlers drop more points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWalsall
26.57% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 46.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)57.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.24% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.54%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 26.57%
    Walsall 46.3%
    Draw 27.12%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-3 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.45%
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.3%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Walsall

Carlisle United
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Walsall
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Walsall
3-1
Carlisle
Lowe (2'), Jellis (49'), Matt (56')
Jellis (44'), Matt (53')
Mellish (83')
Thomas (22'), Lavelle (55')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Walsall
2-1
Carlisle
Williams (88'), James-Taylor (90+3')
Edmondson (29')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Walsall
1-0
Carlisle
Earing (45+2')
White (11'), Kiernan (61'), Rushworth (90+6')

Simeu (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall392011868442471
2Bradford CityBradford392010952322070
3Port Vale391813849381167
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster381991057441366
5AFC Wimbledon3918111052292365
6Notts County3918111058391965
7Grimsby Town39195155455-162
8Colchester UnitedColchester39141694739858
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe39141694539658
10Salford City381511124743456
11Chesterfield3815101359441555
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood391314125348553
13Bromley391313135150152
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham391311155157-650
15Swindon TownSwindon391115135556-148
16BarrowBarrow39139174346-348
17MK Dons39137195159-846
18Newport CountyNewport39137194864-1646
19Gillingham381111163240-844
20Accrington StanleyAccrington391012174555-1042
21Harrogate TownHarrogate39119193049-1942
22Tranmere RoversTranmere39913173055-2540
23Morecambe3996243457-2333
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle39710223059-2931


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