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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Walsall

Carlisle
1 - 1
Walsall

Hayden (22')
Embleton (60'), Hayden (85'), Davies (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Allen (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Thursday, February 27 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Walsall

Given this match is a clash of top against bottom, Walsall will be huge favourites to take what would be an important three points. However, Carlisle have already improved under Hughes, and considering the defensive strength they have shown in recent games, it would come as no surprise to see the Sadlers drop more points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWalsall
26.57% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 46.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)57.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.24% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.54%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 26.57%
    Walsall 46.3%
    Draw 27.12%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-3 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.45%
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.3%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Walsall

Carlisle United
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Walsall
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Walsall
3-1
Carlisle
Lowe (2'), Jellis (49'), Matt (56')
Jellis (44'), Matt (53')
Mellish (83')
Thomas (22'), Lavelle (55')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Walsall
2-1
Carlisle
Williams (88'), James-Taylor (90+3')
Edmondson (29')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Walsall
1-0
Carlisle
Earing (45+2')
White (11'), Kiernan (61'), Rushworth (90+6')

Simeu (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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