Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 15.64% ( | 21.16% ( | 63.2% ( | 
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.18% ( | 46.82% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.92% ( | 69.07% ( | 
| Maidenhead United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.32% ( | 42.67% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.98% ( | 79.01% ( | 
| Rochdale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.82% ( | 14.17% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.13% ( | 41.87% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 2-0 @ 2.19% ( 3-1 @ 1.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.64%  | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.19% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.15%  | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-2 @ 11.54% ( 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0-3 @ 7.52% ( 1-3 @ 6.4% ( 0-4 @ 3.67% ( 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0-5 @ 1.44% ( 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 1-5 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 63.19%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 | 
| 2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 | 
| 5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 | 
| 7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 | 
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 | 
| 10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 | 
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 | 
| 12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 | 
| 15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 | 
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 | 
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 | 
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